Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.565652 1.788842 2.032660 2.318816 2.645533 3.007025 3.437492
2025-01-05 1.183752 1.476698 1.825640 2.272082 2.828513 3.499799 4.372235
2025-01-12 0.968446 1.282917 1.680329 2.219748 2.933703 3.847669 5.109059
2025-01-19 0.810934 1.128492 1.549747 2.149957 2.984555 4.106313 5.732916
2025-01-26 0.759048 1.102588 1.577973 2.284579 3.310335 4.748906 6.926921
2025-02-02 0.717030 1.082361 1.607398 2.417985 3.641002 5.422920 8.227418
2025-02-09 0.672128 1.050809 1.614160 2.514576 3.921917 6.045162 9.507528
2025-02-16 0.620299 1.001752 1.587647 2.554620 4.116160 6.549348 10.649708
2025-02-23 0.557124 0.927356 1.513207 2.509486 4.168141 6.831736 11.460335
2025-03-02 0.507823 0.869755 1.458790 2.489184 4.254715 7.171791 12.390101
2025-03-09 0.470502 0.827946 1.425391 2.498912 4.389299 7.598253 13.499216
2025-03-16 0.437503 0.790001 1.394342 2.508396 4.521974 8.029365 14.651214
2025-03-23 0.408496 0.757033 1.370067 2.529647 4.681289 8.527866 15.985485
2025-03-30 0.371472 0.705984 1.309130 2.478903 4.705508 8.787837 16.909324
2025-04-06 0.337790 0.657677 1.248347 2.421762 4.710651 9.010119 17.778224
2025-04-13 0.305344 0.608490 1.181214 2.345581 4.670983 9.142169 18.480815
2025-04-20 0.303191 0.618163 1.226773 2.492531 5.079693 10.169663 21.053470
2025-04-27 0.300492 0.626368 1.269923 2.638159 5.498308 11.251950 23.838483
2025-05-04 0.293243 0.624488 1.292584 2.743601 5.843484 12.215196 26.465004
2025-05-11 0.280132 0.609051 1.286131 2.787316 6.062606 12.936770 28.642638
2025-05-18 0.259295 0.575139 1.238242 2.738045 6.077580 13.229336 29.910953
2025-05-25 0.242691 0.548924 1.204335 2.715882 6.149120 13.647787 31.495749
2025-06-01 0.230210 0.530718 1.186069 2.726502 6.293949 14.237167 33.520598